Wednesday, November 4, 2015

IT IS TIME TO CHANGE, AND HE KNOWS TO DO SO

South America is a particular political arena where left-wing parties have conquered since last times most parts of the continent. Revolutionary and socialist are the main patterns in these governments bound to the common hate to the United States. Maduro, Morales and Correa, among others, represent that way of policy as well as they called themselves leaders of that fake and unreal revolution against neoliberal tides. For these reasons, when an election takes part in a certain country and the results are not in line with the current described above, political researches should find the roots of the change and, besides being struck by that switch, try to predict next alterations in neighboring countries. 

Argentina seems to break that socialist harmony due to the results got last week on the presidential election. Neither results are concluding, nor the change announced is finally reached, but currently consequences may set a starting point and feed the hopes of liberal leaders who defends an approach to western countries far from neo-tyranic leaders thoughts that have sank the economic and social development.

An explanation must be done from the roots towards the branches. Argentinian electoral system is a double back procedure, where whatever candidate has to reach a qualitative majority in order to enter the office. If nobody gets it, another election would be held between the most-supported parties where simply majority is needed to take the power. The Government is ruled since 2003 by a stream named “kirchnerismo” which is close to its neighbors’ ideology. What is more serious, these governments have used authoritarians means disguised under the costume of democracy. Kirchner legacy have remained an increase of foreign debt, a break to economic development and a obstruct of external investment in Argentina, so it is a legacy which looks to be ended due to the results acquired by its current candidate, Scioli, who was not able to gather enough votes. Mauricio Macri, his biggest foe, technically got the same number of votes which means a second round that will be reigned by uncertainty. In the following round, Macri would probably count on the support of small parties, so Scioli seems to be isolated in that struggle. Only traditional wings may fight back that menace and become Kirchner regime as perpetual as other South America regimes are. As Niebuhr could say, what an irony! Those regimes reached the power under the banner of revolution and tradition has become now their biggest source to keep and maintain that power.   

Macri has proposed a different country to the Argentinians and these changes are already beginning to reach beyond its borders. Argentina could begin repairing its eroded international image. What is my particular wish? First of all Macri must get the power which should means a strong change in that battered society where corruption and confabulation issues are shown day by day on cover pages. His program should be an approach to a new way in the decision making process as well as provokes a domino effect to other countries, an effect that is the only exit to South America political life, there will be a significant revaluation of democracy on the continent as a whole.
Will these supposed changes be real in the whole continent or contrary it only be made on the rhetorical field? We have to wait, however Macri announced weeks ago that if he get the power, he will demand Venezuela releasing Leopoldo Lopez –the main opposition to Venezuelan regime- as well as a broad and unrestricted respect for human rights. Cristina Fernández de Kirchner and her colleagues were unable to make that kind of announcements along her terms so new times are expected to come both in Argentina and in Latin America. Although nothing have already change in Argentina, these events announce something is happening besides Argentina show the world that it is placed a step forward from its neighbors.


Ignacio Moreno Lucenilla    

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