Money Makes the World Go Round
Money
make the world go round, this is a phase most people have heard at some point
or another in their life time and it is one that is generally accepted like
death and taxes. Money however is a
vague term and over the years it has taken on many different reincarnations,
but what hasn’t changed is its importance in an ever more globalized world. To date there are four primary currencies of
the world the Yen, Euro, Pound and of course the US dollar all of whom are
called properly reserve currencies.
However with ever increasing influence of China the IMF has been looking
to add a fifth currency, the Chinese Renminbi (RMB), to the exclusive currency
club. It is a move that the IMF is
considering very carefully, but I see it as an inevitably because it is a necessity
for stabilization for the global market.
Such a
move by the IMF to make the RMB a reserve currency would be a welcoming sight
for U.S. foreign policies in dealing with China’s growing economic influence. Currently according to SWIFT’s RMB tracker in
2015 the RMB ranked as the forth most traded currency at 2.79% of world currency
value, lagging behind three of the big four with the US dollar leading at
44.46%. However even at 2.79% the RMBs
influence has been growing modestly over the years, however this is not without
cost to China’s Central Bank. In trying
to become a reserve currency China is being faced by leading members of the IMF
such a Germany, France, United Kingdoms, and the United States to further
deregulate their currency from the central bank grasp. Such deregulation as removing the RMB from a
managed float to allow market corrections to determine its true value. Unfortunately the Chinese Central Bank has
yet to accept such reform, and in fact over this summer it would appear that
they have been moving in reverse.
If by
chance you lived under a rock this summer China suffered harsh losses in
manufacturing, business, and its financial sector. And, in reaction to this financial devastation
the bank of China made one mistake that stood out among the rest, they chose to
devalue the RMB. Although it was only a
modest decrease, it could appear that China themselves are not quite ready for
the responsibility of being a global currency.
As we have talked in class with economics as with power whether or not
the nation accepts it they hold a global responsibility. A responsibility for which I think is needed
by China not solely for the sake of the US, but for the development of China
themselves. For what good are the words
of a leader if they are not backed by the reliability his character. And, although it will inevitably make China
less competitive in the global market by allowing their currency to freely
float it is a strong sign to international financial markets that China will
accept part of the responsibility for its actions in a global market. With that said depending on the actions by
the Chinese Central Bank near the end of this year or the next it is with high
expectations that the Chinese Renminbi will be accepted by the IMF as the Fifth
global reserve currency.
---Nathaniel Dust---
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